We live in a world where you can check your investments every 5 seconds…
And sell them just as fast.
Sounds like an advantage.
But in reality…
That kind of access can be VERY dangerous.
It is comical to look back at my predictions for 2026 that I made late last year.
I was excited to see the direction of mortgage rates and could see a clear path to increased volume in real estate and a strong spring selling season… my one caveat to this prediction of course being “as long as another war doesn’t happen like Russia & Ukraine”
Fast Forward to March 2026 and we were suddenly taking out 47 years of pent up frustration and bombing Iran non stop for a month straight.
When the conflict headlines hit…
The stock market REACTED immediately.
Over a short stretch, the S&P 500 dropped nearly 9%.
Then just weeks later… it climbed right back.
If you were watching it daily, it felt like chaos.
- Up 1%
- Down 1.5%
- Up again
- Then right back down
All driven by headlines, emotions, and uncertainty.
Now compare that to real estate from 2025 to 2026…
Even with rising rates, war headlines, and economic uncertainty —
housing didn’t spike, crash, or react emotionally, it just adjusted slowly.”
What HousingWire Data Actually Shows (2025 ? 2026)
The real numbers:
- 2025 inventory: ~757,000 homes (avg ~773K)
- 2026 inventory: ~695,000–700,000 homes early year
YoY change: roughly -8% to -10%
And here’s the key:
- Growth is slowing
- Prices are flat
- Market is “normalizing” (not crashing)
A crash in real estate would be preceded by a massive spike in sellers rushing to sell their homes like we saw in 2007-2009. This is a “leading indicator”
However, what we see now is a NORMAL market response.
Rents were still paid.
Tenants still lived in the homes.
Mortgages stayed the same.
No panic. No headlines. No emotional rollercoaster.
In fact, if you did not have access to the news, and you simply just looked at the real estate market and mortgage rates… You would have no clue that there was a global disaster occurring.
Even when you look at mortgage rates one would think you would see massive swings in the rates however, here is the reality:
Rates dropped below 6% in February
War + oil spike ? rates jumped to ~6.4–6.5%
Then they settled back down ~6.2–6.3%
Even with:
- Global conflict
- Inflation fears
- Fuel price spikes
Mortgage rates only moved ~0.3–0.5% total
Contrast that to going on social media and being flooded with so many Global social media “experts” who will tell you all about the pending disasters that loom around the corner:
- fuel prices will go up to $10 a gallon
- World War 3, Israel is taking over the world
- inflation is going to skyrocket
- home prices will plummet 30%
- AI will replace every single job next year, etc.
That contrast is literally night and day.
Stocks are the equivalent of social media.
It is clearly run by HEADLINES… This is why day traders ALWAYS fail.
Real estate is the equivalent of the old school land line. Slow, one conversation at a time. No distractions.
And here’s the part most people miss:
Real estate’s biggest “drawback”…
Is actually one of its greatest strengths.
- It’s not liquid.
- You can’t wake up and sell it in 5 minutes because of a headline.
- You can’t check the value every hour.
- You can’t panic sell.
And because of that…
You’re forced to think long-term.
You’re forced to make better decisions.
You’re forced to build wealth instead of react to noise.
Over the years, I’ve seen this play out again and again with our investors.
They don’t sell real estate because they’re scared.
They don’t try to time the market.
And when they do sell…
It’s usually to do a 1031 exchange into more real estate.
Why?
Because they’re capturing equity…
And turning it into more doors… and more cash flow
In a world where:
- Stocks swing daily
- Oil prices spike overnight
- Headlines drive decisions
There’s something powerful about owning an asset that simply…
Performs.
That’s why we stay focused on what works.
Stable, income-producing properties.
Not because they’re exciting…
But because they’re dependable.
If you’ve been watching the market lately and wondering what to do next…
This is your reminder:
You don’t need more noise.
You need more consistency.
If you want to see what we’re working on right now and how we’re helping investors build that kind of stability… Just reply to this email or reach out. Happy to walk you through it.
Check out our most recent inventory of turnkey rentals that will help you achieve those goals I have outlined.
